There is good reason to question Gallup polls now…
Gallup shows tie in generic Congressional ballot
And Gallup polls have been questionable for decades…
I echo some of the thoughts from a post on The Cassandra Page from the last election cycle:
One such treasure trove of facts is found in Phyllis Schlafly’s 1964 paperback, “A Choice Not an Echo.” In Choice, Schlafly breaks down each Republican primary battle from 1936 through 1960 and shows how establishment Republicans (those with ties to the publishing and banking world) had undermined the choice of the rank-and-file Republicans with false charges (spread through an obliging MSM) of “extremism” and “unelectability.”
Among my favorite chapters is Chapter 6, in which she discusses polls – “Pollsters and Hoaxsters” (1944):
The New York Kingmakers realized they could not capture the 1944 Republican nomination either with Wilkie or with the same type of last-minute blitz they had used in 1940. This time they went into action earlier. They discovered and developed a new political weapon: the Gallup Poll. Dr. George Gallup began asking a lot of questions of a very few people, and – funny thing – he usually came up with answers that pleased the New York kingmakers.
The Gallup Poll has been used repeatedly as a subtle propaganda machine to sell the Republicans on the false propositions that the GOP cannot win unless it (1) continues the New Deal foreign policy (Soviet appeasement – Salt) and (2) names candidates who will appeal to the left-leaning Democrats and liberals.
Phyllis Schlafly’s 1964 book is now available on Scribd: