The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 33% of the nation’s voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-six percent (36%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of –3. Those figures reflect the highest level of strong disapproval measured to date and the lowest level recorded for the overall Approval Index (see trends).
It remains to be seen whether this decline in the President’s numbers is a temporary aberration, statistical noise, or something more significant. Tomorrow (Wednesday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted since last week’s report showing higher than expected job losses in June.
I could be wrong, but I don’t expect tomorrow’s poll (the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted since last week’s report showing higher than expected job losses in June) to be any better.
What is already clear is that Obama’s approval index peaked on his second day in office. He has gone from +30 to -3.
And here’s what the month-by-month numbers look like (I have added in the July-to-date average):
2009 | Strongly Approve |
Strongly Disapprove |
Approval Index |
Total Approve |
Total Disapprove |
Jan | 43 | 20 | 23 | 62 | 34 |
Feb | 39 | 25 | 14 | 59 | 39 |
Mar | 37 | 30 | 7 | 57 | 42 |
Apr | 35 | 31 | 4 | 55 | 44 |
May | 35 | 29 | 6 | 57 | 42 |
Jun | 34 | 32 | 2 | 54 | 45 |
Jul (to date) | 33 | 35 | -2 | 53 | 46 |
How long will it be before the “Total Approve” drops below 50%?
How many people foolishly believed Obama’s lies that he wouldn’t raise taxes on people making less than $250,000?
How many people foolishly believed Obama’s lies that the “Stimulus” would “save or create” jobs?
Don’t believe the lies now when they tell you that “Stimulus II” is needed.
In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.
…
Can we solve the problems confronting us? Well, the answer is an unequivocal and emphatic “yes.” To paraphrase Winston Churchill, I did not take the oath I’ve just taken with the intention of presiding over the dissolution of the world’s strongest economy.
In the days ahead I will propose removing the roadblocks that have slowed our economy and reduced productivity… It is time to reawaken this industrial giant, to get government back within its means, and to lighten our punitive tax burden. And these will be our first priorities, and on these principles there will be no compromise.
July 24, 2009 UPDATE:
Remember my question above?
How long will it be before the “Total Approve” drops below 50%?
The answer: Seventeen (17) Days.
Today marks the first time his overall approval rating has ever fallen below 50% among Likely Voters nationwide. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove.
Time to update the chart with current Jul (to date) numbers:
2009 | Strongly Approve |
Strongly Disapprove |
Approval Index |
Total Approve |
Total Disapprove |
Jan | 43 | 20 | 23 | 62 | 34 |
Feb | 39 | 25 | 14 | 59 | 39 |
Mar | 37 | 30 | 7 | 57 | 42 |
Apr | 35 | 31 | 4 | 55 | 44 |
May | 35 | 29 | 6 | 57 | 42 |
Jun | 34 | 32 | 2 | 54 | 45 |
Jul (to date) | 30 | 36 | -6 | 52 | 47 |
And the trend chart:
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Most of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the President’s nationally televised press conference on Wednesday night. The first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the press conference will be released on Sunday.
Which direction do you think these numbers will go when they are based entirely upon interviews conducted after the press conference? My guess is down.
Update: Presidential Approval Update
Remind me what was Bush’s rating towards the end of his presidency?
And in what way is that relevant to Obama’s decline?
I was wondering the same thing. I was just pulling a page out of the conservative playbook.
No sale.
Blaming everything on Bush is a page out of the Democratic Socialist playbook, not the conservative playbook.
LOL kind of like how you guys were blaming everything on Clinton while Bush was in office?
I do hold Clinton accountable for his weak position in response to multiple terrorist attacks against U.S. interests around the world.
I do hold Clinton accountable for sending his former National Security Advisor, Sandy Berger, into the National Archives to STEAL and DESTROY sensitive documents so that the 9/11 Commission and the world would never see them.
But “…blaming everything on Clinton while Bush was in office?”
Hardly.
If you want to read something I wrote about Clinton while Bush was in office, go here:
Have you seen today’s results?
July to date numbers:
Previously:
Strongly | Strongly | Approval | Total | Total
Approve | Disapprove | Index | Approve | Disapprove
33 35 -2 53 46
Update:
Strongly | Strongly | Approval | Total | Total
Approve | Disapprove | Index | Approve | Disapprove
32 36 -4 52 47
Post updated above. Not only has Obama’s total approval fallen below 50%, but the July month-to-date averages have fallen to:
Strongly | Strongly | Approval | Total | Total
Approve | Disapprove | Index | Approve | Disapprove
30 36 -6 52 47
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