The President is not all powerful. Give Credit/Blame Where Due.

Jon Favreau wtites at the Daily Beast:

Memo to everyone lambasting Obama for not getting along with Congress: The president is not all powerful.

I agree. And it’s nice that after more than six years, people like Jon Favreau finally realize that.

The President deserves neither all of the credit, nor all of the blame.

At any given point in time, one political party will control a majority (2+ out of 3) of the Presidency and two Legislative bodies (House and Senate).

Give credit and/or blame where it is due. Give the majority of the credit and/or blame to the political party which controls a majority of power in Washington, D.C.

It’s very enlightening to do so.

Using that perspective, look at the Employment-Population Ratio over the last 18+ years (January 1995 – April 2013) and give credit and/or blame where it is due:

Employment-Population Ratio and Averages, Jan 1995 - Apr 2013

============================================================
UPDATE:
As part of her post, my friend ChrissyTheHyphenated spruced up my graph:

2013_04 Employment in America - GOP vs DEM
============================================================

April was better than March, the same as January and February, and was yet another below average month, even by Obama administration standards. There hasn’t been a month above his administration average of 58.7% since August 2009! The worst month under Bush was better than the best month under Obama.

And the bigger picture is:

From January 3, 1995 to January 2, 2007, Republicans controlled a majority (2+ out of 3) of the House, Senate, and Presidency.

During those 12 straight years, 144 consecutive months from January 1995 – December 2006, the average monthly Employment-Population ratio was 63.3%.

From January 3, 2007 to present, Democrats have controlled a majority (2+ out of 3) of the House, Senate, and Presidency.

During the last 6.33 years, 76 consecutive months from January 2007 – April 2013, the average monthly Employment-Population ratio has been 59.9%.

And during Obama’s pResidency, the average monthly Employment-Population Ratio has been 58.7%, and there hasn’t had a month above that average since August 2009.

The worst month under Bush was better than the best month under Obama.

Last month, April 2013, the Employment-Population Ratio was 58.6%.

If we had the same level of Employment-Population Ratio now as we had under Bush and the Republican Congress in December 2006, 63.4%, more than 11.7 Million more people would be employed.

The difference (63.4% – 58.6%) is 4.8% of our civilian noninstitutional population age 16 years+.

If we had the same Employment-Population ratio now as we had in December 2006 (after 12 continuous years of the Republicans holding 2+ of the House, Senate, and Presidency), over 11.7 Million more people would be employed right now!

According to table A-1, the civilian noninstitutional population age 16 years+ in March 2013 was 245,175,000.

4.8% * 245,175,000 = 11,768,400

Over 11.7 Million people who are not employed now, but would be if we had the same Employment-Population ratio now as we had in December 2006 when Republicans last controlled the House, Senate, and Presidency!

About these ads
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

22 Responses to The President is not all powerful. Give Credit/Blame Where Due.

  1. As part of her post, my friend ChrissyTheHyphenated spruced up my graph:

    2013_04 Employment in America - GOP vs DEM

  2. chrissythehyphenated says:

    I posted a link to this blog to my facebook. Not sure it’s showing up in your stats.

  3. chrissythehyphenated says:

    Red, I am trying to make a graphic about R vs D leadership and AGAIN I can’t remember what is the right word for House, Senate and President. Not branches. You told me once. Lost the brain cell and can’t remember where it was posted. sigh … help?

  4. Chrissy,
    Here are some variations on the theme…

    At any point in time, one party will control a majority
    (2+ out of 3) of the spending and budgeting entities:

    1) The House
    2) The Senate
    3) The Presidency

    Or:

    the three budget-making bodies (House, Senate, and Presidency)

    Or:

    During any session of Congress, you should give the majority of credit and/or blame to the political party which controls a majority (2+ out of 3) of the Presidency and two Legislative bodies (House and Senate).

  5. chrissythehyphenated says:

    THANKS.

  6. I’m trying to look through some of your previous posts to find relevant graphics.

    For example:

    http://polination.wordpress.com/2013/01/21/itooktheredpill-corrects-democrat-lies/

  7. Chrissy’s Site Bites: http://news.webshots.com/photo/2866753560056011884HsNWrW

    The Total Debt as of 5/9/2013 is now $16.8 Trillion!

  8. Are you able to retrieve the graphics that used to be included in the following post?

    http://polination.wordpress.com/2012/06/04/the-misery-of-democrat-leadership/

  9. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RRUbwnkEPqc

    One thing about President Ronald Reagan that I didn’t really appreciate until about a year and a half ago is that he had to work with a Democrat-controlled House of Representatives for his entire Presidency! (And a Democrat-controlled Senate for the last two years of his Presidency).

    Obama moans and complains because he has to deal with a Republican-controlled House of Representatives after having majority-Democrat control of both houses in the first 2 years of his Presidency. Obama needs to man up!

  10. (Click images to enlarge)

    When thinking of Fascism, Occupy Wall Street should come to mind, not the GOP.

    Chrissy’s Site Bites: http://news.webshots.com/photo/2855547500056011884kKaUqa

    Chrissy’s Site Bites: http://news.webshots.com/photo/2952105850056011884cwIXpq

    Video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-oS4WLui3Q

  11. chrissythehyphenated says:

    I found and replaced them. NO idea why they disappeared from the graphics library at PN. There was no connection to them at Site Bites apart from the link. I always loaded them twice, once at PN and once at Webshots.

  12. chrissythehyphenated says:

    These could stand to be reposted. Thanks for the reminder.

  13. Here is what the media likes to report:

    Unemployment rate 1995 – 2013

    But the media doesn’t like to talk about this:

    Discouraged Workers 1995 – 2013

    Or this:

    Employment-Population Ratio 1995 – 2013

    Take a look at the beginning of 2007 in each of those graphs… note what unemployment, discouraged workers, and the employment-population ratio were when the balance of power shifted from Republican to Democrat on January 3, 2007.

  14. May 2013 was yet another below-average month for the Employment-Population Ratio.
    The worst month under Bush was better than the best month under Obama.

    2013_05 Employment in America - GOP vs DEM

    From January 3, 1995 to January 2, 2007, Republicans controlled a majority (2+ out of 3) of the House, Senate, and Presidency.

    During those 12 straight years (144 consecutive months) from January 1995 – December 2006, the average monthly Employment-Population ratio was 63.3%.

    President Bush and the Republican majority in Congress actually ended slightly above average at 63.4% in December 2006.

    From January 3, 2007 to present, Democrats have controlled a majority (2+ out of 3) of the House, Senate, and Presidency.

    During the last nearly 6.5 years (77 consecutive months) from January 2007 – May 2013, the average monthly Employment-Population ratio has been 59.9%.

    And during Obama’s pResidency, the average monthly Employment-Population Ratio has been 58.7%, and he hasn’t had a month above his average since August 2009.

    The worst month under Bush was better than the best month under Obama.

    Last month, May 2013, was yet another below-average month, even by Obama’s low standards, as the Employment-Population Ratio was 58.6%.

    If we had the same level of Employment-Population Ratio now as we had under Bush and the Republican Congress in December 2006, well over 11.7 Million more people would be employed.

    The difference (63.4% – 58.6%) is 4.8% of our civilian non-institutional population age 16 years+.

    If we had the same Employment-Population ratio now as we had in December 2006 (after 12 continuous years of the Republicans holding 2+ of the House, Senate, and Presidency), well over 11.7 Million more people would be employed right now!

    According to table A-1, the civilian non-institutional population age 16 years+ in March 2013 was 245,363,000.

    4.8% * 245,363,000 = 11,777,424

    Over 11.7 Million people who are not employed now, but would be if we had the same Employment-Population ratio now as we had in December 2006 when Republicans last controlled the House, Senate, and Presidency!

    I repeat:
    If we had the same Employment-Population ratio now as we had in December 2006 (after 12 continuous years of the Republicans holding 2+ of the House, Senate, and Presidency), well over 11.7 Million more people would be employed right now!

  15. Jzyehoshua here. Just wanted to say I was really impressed coming across your post on Employment-Population ratio over the Democratic Congress compared to Republicans. I wasn’t aware anyone else was making these kinds of points besides me. Your thought processes, beliefs, and even background all closely mirror mine. Anyway, just wanted to say you are doing a great job, keep up the good work!

  16. Joshua/Jzyehoshua,
    Thank you very much for your feedback. I appreciate that.

    This is my personal blog, but I also contribute occasionally to a few different “community” blogs, including one named “For God, Family, and Country”. Check out the following post that I wrote recently over there…

    Reagan vs. Obama, Employment-Population Ratio

    I realize that that post title seems to somewhat contrary to the post above, since it compares Reagan vs. Obama, but that post also goes into the comparisons by when Obama’s party took majority control of Washington, D.C.

  17. http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/obama-you-cant-do-things-yourself_704716.html

    Obama: ‘You Can’t Do Things By Yourself’
    2:36 PM, Feb 26, 2013

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgqSNR51o5c

    “You know, the one thing about being president is, after four years, you get pretty humble. You’d think maybe you wouldn’t but actually you become more humble–you realize what you don’t know,” Obama said.

    “You realize all the mistakes you made. But you also realize you can’t do things by yourself. That’s not how our system works. You’ve got to have the help and the goodwill of Congress, and what that means is you’ve got to make sure that constituents of members of Congress are putting some pressure on them, making sure they’re doing the right thing.”

    Ok, so why did Obama say that President Bush added $4 Trillion in new debt “by his lonesome”?

    “The problem is, is that the way Bush has done it over the last eight years is to take out a credit card from the Bank of China in the name of our children, driving up our national debt from $5 trillion for the first 42 presidents – #43 added $4 trillion by his lonesome, so that we now have over $9 trillion of debt that we are going to have to pay back — $30,000 for every man, woman and child. That’s irresponsible. It’s unpatriotic.

    – Barack Obama July 3, 2008

    The truth is that the majority of the credit and/or blame belongs to the party which controlled a majority (2+ out of 3) of the three bodies which together pass budgets and spending bills:
    1) The House,
    2) The Senate, and
    3) The Presidency

    Date, Total Public Debt Outstanding
    9/30/1995 = $4,973,982,900,709.39 ($5 Trillion, last day of Fiscal Year 1995)
    9/30/2007 = $9,007,653,372,262.48 ($9 Trillion, last day of Fiscal Year 2007)
    4/30/2013 = $16,828,845,497,183.90($16.8 Trillion, only 7 months into FY 2013)
    We’ve now had over four months of borrowing under Treasury Secretary Lew’s “extraordinary measures”

    When that “extraordinary measures” borrowing, to the tune of approximately $100 Billion per month, is added in, our true Total Debt Outstanding right now is approximately $17.2 Trillion.

    Republican majorities were mostly responsible for the FY 1996-2007 budgets, which increased the Total Debt Oustanding from $5 Trillion to $9 Trillion over the course of 12 Fiscal Years.

    Republican majorities increased the national debt by $4 Trillion over a span of 12 fiscal years.

    Democrat majorities were mostly responsible for the FY 2008-2013 budgets/continuing resolutions, which increased the Total Debt Oustanding from $9 Trillion to approximately $17.2 Trillion over the course of just 6 Fiscal Years.

    Democrat majorities increased the national debt by approx. $8.2 Trillion over a span of 6 fiscal years.

    Democrats promised “fiscal discipline”.
    Democrats promised “no more deficit spending”.
    Democrats promised that they would “provide unlimited opportunity for future generations, not burden them with mountains of debt.”

    Democrats won majority control in the 2006 and 2008 elections in part based on those promises.

    And then they took the FY 2007 deficit they inherited (a deficit of less than $161 Billion) and sent spending and deficits skyrocketing, adding more than twice as much debt in less than half the time… i.e., deficit spending at MORE THAN QUADRUPLE the average deficit spending rate of their Republican predecessors.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s